Alumni blog: Navigating possibilities of the water sector in post-war Sudan
Despite war raging in their home country, Razan Elnour, Dalal Siddig, Gofran Ahmed and other recent Sudanese IHE Delft MSc alumni are busy charting a sustainable path forward for their country’s water sector. They are ready to lead a change to improve the water sector, once conditions are stable enough. In December 2023, they hosted the New Sudan Water Conference at IHE Delft and online, bringing together experts, scholars, and stakeholders to discuss rebuilding and resilience in post-conflict environments. They share ideas in this blog.
As Sudan navigates its water future, we need collaborative, evidence-driven efforts that result in policies and strategies that truly resonate with the real needs. Using an evidence-based approach is crucial in this pursuit, as it allows decision-makers to ground their choices in verifiable data and thorough scientific assessment instead of political convenience.
Sudan faces water shortages in the east and west, and in the capital’s peri-urban areas. In the south, there are conflicts over water resources. The country faces floods and other problems related to the dam construction, and transboundary water issues have emerged in recent years.
The effects of the current war on water resources of Sudan are complex. Conflicts have damaged infrastructure and left for millions of people in the states of Khartoum, Gezira and Darfur without access to drinking water. The war also impedes farming in key food production areas irrigated in the Gezira scheme. The risk of conflict over the Jebel Aulia dam endangers residents both upstream and downstream. The war also stopped the monitoring of water resources, hindering optimal water use and risking the safety of dam operations. Moreover, the displacement and hardship resulting from conflict worsen existing water issues, aggravating health hazards.
Science-based recommendations
The science-based recommendations presented at the New Sudan Water Conference could significantly alleviate some of the Sudan water challenges, if implemented. The recommendations include: establishing a robust decision-making framework, optimizing resource utilization, adopting a comprehensive problem-solving approach and fostering trust and credibility among stakeholders.
Evidence can help us pinpoint the most efficient interventions and distribute resources in a way that optimizes effectiveness and advances sustainable, long-term development. It's vital that the water policies and strategies align with the genuine requirements of the Sudanese people: to achieve this, decision-making processes related to water must include marginalized communities as a prerequisite for social inclusion and peacemaking.
Building the new Sudan
As young Sudanese water professionals, we are ready to work to make change happen. But we need stability to do so. Peace fosters an atmosphere conducive to collaboration and innovation, empowering us to leverage the combined knowledge and enthusiasm of young professionals such as ourselves to directly address urgent water-related challenges. We need the war to end. However, we can start now to plan for our new Sudan. This is a call for all Sudanese researchers and peacemakers to help pave the way to exit the war and start building the new Sudan.
We highlight some of the recommendations discussed at the conference:
Restore and optimize the Gezira scheme
The irrigated Gezira scheme was the largest producer of exporting crops fodder in the country. If operated optimally, it could feed Sudan and other countries.
- Use remote sensing and WaPOR data to research the management of agricultural inputs and in-field water applications on a smaller scale. Through such research, other factors that cause spatial variation in production can be identified and lessons learned for optimal resource utilization. This recommendation was presented by Razan Gamal, whose MSc thesis focused on resource allocation in the Gezira scheme
- Empower and train local communities to manage water resources sustainably for more collaboration and decisions that match local needs. This will ensure support for farmers and enable quick action to address issues, thereby contributing to more effective and equitable water governance. The recommendation was presented by Fatima Mohamed, whose MSc thesis investigated the impact of the Gezira scheme policies on the cropping pattern and irrigation performance.
- Implement existing models in agricultural management practices within the Gezira scheme. Also, spark collaboration among stakeholders, including government agencies and agricultural organizations to integrate remote sensing-based tools in decision-making. The recommendation was presented by Mahmoud Ahmed, whose MSc thesis used remote sensing to estimate the effect of nitrogen stress on crop yield.
- Incorporate areas that are irrigated with informal practices into the Gezira scheme. This will lead to increased yields and more efficient use of water, thereby helping to secure the livelihoods of farmers and labourers. The additional water required to incorporate the informally irrigated areas can be recouped with improved canal maintenance and drains water reuse. The recommendation was presented by Dalal Siddig, whose MSc thesis focused on the topic.
Gamal, Fatima, Mahmoud and Siddig are part of an IHE Delft team of experts working to develop a strategic transformative vision for the Gezira irrigation scheme.
Use remote-sensing and modelling to learn about GERD
The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD), located in Ethiopia 20 kilometres east of the Sudanese border and less than 150 kilometres upstream from Sudan’s Rosieres dam, has a major impact on Sudan. Yet the absence of shared data leaves Sudan oblivious to Ethiopia’s practices.
- Use remote-sensing data to learn about the filling and operation levels of the GERD. For her IHE Delft MSc thesis, Aseel Mohamed used globally available remote sensing datasets to simulate the flow of the Blue Nile. This enabled her to make reliable predictions and estimations of water availability.
- Adjust the Roseires dam operational strategy to increase hydroelectric power generation. For her MSc thesis, Gofran Ahmed used modelling to assess the impact of GERD on the sediment load at the Roseires dam, finding that GERD captures about 95% of the sediment from the Blue Nile. This reduces the storage losses caused by sediment in Roseires, which removes the need to lower its level for sediment release and makes it possible to significantly enhance hydroelectric power generation.
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